For the past three years, Foreign Policy magazine and the non-profit Fund for Peace have ranked 177 states to create a “Failed State Index”.
In the latest report card, which ranks the nations in order of their “vulnerability to violent and internal conflict and societal deterioration”, Iraq found itself taking home the silver, losing only to Sudan.
And all this “despite billions of dollars in development and security age and the continued presence of U.S. troops”.
Last year, Iraq ranked fourth place, and has seen its position in the Index fall for a third consecutive year. And the U.S. troops have been there for what, 4 and a bit years now…
Quick look at Afghanistan, another war-torn country, and another “important” front in the War on Terror. Where was Afghanistan on the Failed States Index? In eighth place… So a little better, but not too much.
Sudan, where the United States doesn’t have a substantial number of soldiers (are there any American military personnel there?), ranked first on the list. This is attributable to the violence in the Darfur region, violence that has killed at least 200,000 people and displaced a further 2-3 million people. And this is a place that could potentially benefit from a prolonged U.S. military presence, unlike Iraq and Afghanistan where things keep going from bad to worse each year.
The violence in Darfur is worrying because it’s pulling Sudan’s neighbouring countries down with it. Actually, with the exception of Iraq and Afghanistan, all the countries in the top 10 on the list were found in sub-Saharan Africa…
So there are the facts. Now let’s spin in towards the White House…
The Bush Administration has repeatedly argued that U.S. troops are necessary in Iraq to prevent the country from becoming a failed state (well done there, maybe next year…), and also to stop Iraq from becoming a breeding ground for international terrorists.
Overall levels of violence in Iraq have actually increased throughout the country, shifting away from Baghdad to the previously “peaceful” provinces.
Does that mean that the surge is working? The main point of the surge was to clear Baghdad of insurgents, right? So having them move out to the countryside to do as they please without much interference should be considered a success, right?
“Political reconciliation has almost entirely stalled, suicide bombing have more than doubled between January and April, secretarian deaths have increased beyond pre-[surge] levels, and U.S. troop deaths are spiking.
Sound like success to you?
Let’s hand the mic to White House spokesman Tony Snow for a second to hear his thoughts on the success of the surge:
“…it does fit a pattern that we see throughout the region, which is that when you see things moving towards success, or when you see signs of success, that there are acts of violence. …we’ve seen that in Lebanon…”
On the Failed States Index, Lebanon experienced the biggest slide, ending up in 28th place. 16-17 years of progress made since the end of its 15-year-long civil war 1990, bombed to rubble (quite literally actually) by Israel last summer, driving 700,000 people out of their homes.
So, are those signs of success? Didn’t think so…
Snow also suggested that the increased violence in Iraq is a by-product of “pro-democracy movements…making some progress…”
Meanwhile, security forces in Baghdad have stated that only 40 % of Baghdad is very safe on a routine basis, with about 30% lacking control and a further 30 % suffering a high level of violence.
Signs of success, maybe?
Jordan’s King Abdullah predicted last November that three civil wars could erupt in the Middle East in 2007. He’s top three?
Palestine (check)
Lebanon (check)
Iraq (check)
I said check to all three for one simple reason: call it what you will, Palestine, Lebanon, and Iraq are for all sakes and purposes experiencing civil war. Wars and civil wars are named and typically classified as such by subsequent generations, not by the one fighting it. World War I, at the time, was referred to as the Great War, as it was seen as the war to end all wars.
Point is, the only reason “there is no civil war in Iraq” is because the Bush Administration doesn’t want it to be called that. Having aided in the birth of a civil war wouldn’t look so good on Bush’s legacy, would it?
Oh wait, too late…
I’ll leave you with a Q & A between reporters and White House spokesman Tony Snow:
QUESTION: “Has the war in Iraq has helped push the peace process forward in any way…?”
SNOW: “Don’t know. I mean, what I don’t think is — quite often people say, well you can’t — you’re not focusing on the Middle East because you’re focusing on Iraq. They are all related.”
QUESTION: “But before the war the president said that taking out Saddam Hussein would help stabilize the Mideast. Do you think that’s turned out to be true?”
SNOW: “Hard to say…”
Where did they find this guy…? Seriously…
For the complete Failed States Index 2007, click here.
Sources:
Salon.com: We’re No. 2!
DailyKos: On The Bright Side…
ThinkProgress.org: Iraq ranks #2 on failed state index
Reuters: Iraq now ranked second among world’s failed states
Yahoo! News: Pentagon: Iraqi violence still rising (via Digg)
Yahoo! News: US: 60 pct. of Baghdad not controlled (via Digg)
ThinkProgress.org: Snow: Intense New Levels Of Viole In Iraq Are “Signs Of Success”
Huffington Post: Iraqis Assure Bush Progress Being Made
ThinkProgress.org: Snow: “I Don’t Know” If Iraq War Has Helped Stabilize Middle East, It’s “Hard To Say”
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